九转指标思想来源于技术分析领域著名大师汤姆·迪马克的TD序列,其核心功能为发现当前股价走势的拐点,提高抄底、逃顶的成功率。 神奇九转作为一个市场上稀有的择时技术指标(不同于Macd、KDJ、W&R、筹码指标等,滞后性很强),大概率能够捕捉到个股在低位或者高位的转折点。但有一点需要注意,神奇九转指标只适用于指数和个股的震荡市、弱牛市以及弱熊市。而当股价或者指数处于大熊市和大牛市期间,神奇九转的指向性就不是很明确了,此时应该结合市场情绪、基本面以及其他指标来对当前的走势进行研判。
注意事项
1、九转指标只适用于指数和个股的震荡市、弱牛市以及弱熊市。而当股价或者指数处于大熊市和大牛市期间,九转的指向性就不是很明确了。
2、九转指标用在指数上成功率远远大于用在个股上。
3、九转指标只是一个择时指标,是一个买卖时点指标;换句话说,就是你决定了买和卖的时候,它作为一个具体买卖时点的指标。
4、九转指标并不能完全作为买卖股票的依据;而是应该结合基本面、其它技术指标(比如MACD背离偏离等)来综合分析。
5、在股价的强势上涨(下跌)过程中,可能连续形成上涨(下跌)9结构,这个时候应该转变神奇九转的使用策略,将首个上涨(下跌)9结构视为强化行情启动(下探)的信号。
6、神奇九转技术指标叠加底背离(顶背离)等信号来进行二次确认,更加能够确定趋势的反转。
7、九转序列找顶和底一般是这样的关系:如果在下降趋势中,日线的出低9(“低”就是下降九转序列),那么对应反弹的是60分钟的高9(“高”就是上升九转序列),即时间单位分析上应减少1/4。
8、九转序列指标是一种很好的择时策略选股指标,可以操作上涨序列,从高“5”逢低吸纳(中阴线低吸最佳),到高“8”或高“9”择机高抛,持股约四五个序列周期。
9、从下跌序列低“8”或低“9”或再延迟一天抄底超跌股为佳,也就是说抄底的时间为低“9”前后3个交易周期,如日线的为低“9”前后3个交易日,周线为低“9”前后3周时间,具体要看低“8”、低“9”的收盘价位及下跌的速度,须配合其它指标综合研判是否抄底及买入的仓位。
10、九转序列周期共振。
—-大小周期同时出现九转结构时,准确率会提高;
—-小周期服从于大周期;有时候日线出了低9,但股价不仅没有涨,还在阴跌,这个时候你看周线,也许只是在下跌的5或6。所以小周期还须完成下跌序列,没有达到九转序列共振期的个股适宜高抛低吸式磨底建仓。
11、涨势看低9,跌势看高9,逆势看背离+9。牛市时慎用上涨9转,熊市时慎用下跌九转。
简单说:涨的时候,低9可以助涨;跌的时候,高9可以助跌;涨的时候,结束反弹需高9和背离共振出现;跌的时候,结束下跌需低9和背离共振出现。九转序列在震荡市场是绝佳的技术,轻松把握震荡拐点。
九转序列是研究择时的,即时间选择,若是出高9,即这里算是相对高位,所以不能追高买入。理论上之后将开始(可能)进入到小周期调整过程中,当然如果真的进入到调整过程中,会在调整的小一些的级别周期里重新出现九转序列的低9的,那时候没买的可以考虑入场。另外,若上升途中出高9,则找比它小的周期的低9;若下降途中出高9,则找比它大的周期的低9。若是主级正向波,9没有什么用。
12、当趋势和结构相反的时候,结构要服从趋势。
如果是上升趋势,那么高9(分时线也适用)要配合结构用,低9不需要配合结构可以独立使用;如果是下降趋势,那么高9可以独立使用,而低9需要配合结构使用。18年深成指出现了很多低9,但大部分都失败了,因为周线和月线都是下降趋势,都是下跌序列中,一直到18年10月深成指低9才出现。
具体到现在,市场已经突破长期的下降趋势(站上半年均线以及自己画的下降趋势线),我认为市场进入上升趋势的可能性是非常大的,那么日线的高9失效的概率就比较大,考虑到这一点,我对之后高九的操作精简成一句话:有确切的高点形成的时候(结合顶背离等),再进行操作,其他如果高点的确切性不强,可做可不做的,都不必操作,安心持股便是。
主图指标
N:=CURRBARSCOUNT;
{买入结构}
B:=C<REF(C,4);
DRAWNUMBER(N=6 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,6),5)=6 AND REF(B,1)=0,L,1),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=7 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,7),6)=7 AND REF(B,1)=0,L,1),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=8 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,8),7)=8 AND REF(B,1)=0,L,1),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=9 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,9),8)=9 AND REF(B,1)=0,L,1),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=5 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,5),4)=5 AND COUNT(B,2)=2 AND REF(B,1)=0,L,2),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=6 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,6),5)=6 AND COUNT(B,2)=2 AND REF(B,1)=0,L,2),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=7 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,7),6)=7 AND COUNT(B,2)=2 AND REF(B,1)=0,L,2),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=8 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,8),7)=8 AND COUNT(B,2)=2 AND REF(B,2)=0,L,2),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=4 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,4),3)=4 AND COUNT(B,3)=3 AND REF(B,3)=0,L,3),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=5 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,5),4)=5 AND COUNT(B,3)=3 AND REF(B,3)=0,L,3),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=6 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,6),5)=6 AND COUNT(B,3)=3 AND REF(B,3)=0,L,3),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=7 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,7),6)=7 AND COUNT(B,3)=3 AND REF(B,3)=0,L,3),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=3 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,3),2)=3 AND COUNT(B,4)=4 AND REF(B,4)=0,L,4),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=4 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,4),3)=4 AND COUNT(B,4)=4 AND REF(B,4)=0,L,4),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=5 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,5),4)=5 AND COUNT(B,4)=4 AND REF(B,4)=0,L,4),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=6 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,6),5)=6 AND COUNT(B,4)=4 AND REF(B,4)=0,L,4),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=2 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,2),1)=2 AND COUNT(B,5)=5 AND REF(B,5)=0,L,5),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=3 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,3),2)=3 AND COUNT(B,5)=5 AND REF(B,5)=0,L,5),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=4 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,4),3)=4 AND COUNT(B,5)=5 AND REF(B,5)=0,L,5),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=5 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,5),4)=5 AND COUNT(B,5)=5 AND REF(B,5)=0,L,5),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=1 AND COUNT(B,6)=6 AND REF(B,6)=0,L,6),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=2 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,2),1)=2 AND COUNT(B,6)=6 AND REF(B,6)=0,L,6),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=3 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,3),2)=3 AND COUNT(B,6)=6 AND REF(B,6)=0,L,6),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=4 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,4),3)=4 AND COUNT(B,6)=6 AND REF(B,6)=0,L,6),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=1 AND COUNT(B,7)=7 AND REF(B,7)=0,L,7),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=2 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,3),1)=3 AND COUNT(B,7)=7 AND REF(B,7)=0,L,7),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=3 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,3),2)=3 AND COUNT(B,7)=7 AND REF(B,7)=0,L,7),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N=2 AND COUNT(B,8)=8 AND REF(B,8)=0,L,8),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=2 AND REFXV(COUNT(B,2),1)=2 AND COUNT(B,8)=8 AND REF(B,8)=0,L,8),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=1 AND COUNT(B,9)=9 AND REF(B,9)=0,L,9),COLORGREEN;
{卖出结构}
S:=C>REF(C,4);
DRAWNUMBER(N=6 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,6),5)=6 AND REF(S,1)=0,H*1.01,1),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=7 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,7),6)=7 AND REF(S,1)=0,H*1.01,1),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=8 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,8),7)=8 AND REF(S,1)=0,H*1.01,1),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=9 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,9),8)=9 AND REF(S,1)=0,H*1.01,1),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=5 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,5),4)=5 AND COUNT(S,2)=2 AND REF(S,1)=0,H*1.01,2),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=6 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,6),5)=6 AND COUNT(S,2)=2 AND REF(S,1)=0,H*1.01,2),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=7 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,7),6)=7 AND COUNT(S,2)=2 AND REF(S,1)=0,H*1.01,2),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=8 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,8),7)=8 AND COUNT(S,2)=2 AND REF(S,2)=0,H*1.01,2),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=4 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,4),3)=4 AND COUNT(S,3)=3 AND REF(S,3)=0,H*1.01,3),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=5 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,5),4)=5 AND COUNT(S,3)=3 AND REF(S,3)=0,H*1.01,3),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=6 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,6),5)=6 AND COUNT(S,3)=3 AND REF(S,3)=0,H*1.01,3),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=7 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,7),6)=7 AND COUNT(S,3)=3 AND REF(S,3)=0,H*1.01,3),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=3 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,3),2)=3 AND COUNT(S,4)=4 AND REF(S,4)=0,H*1.01,4),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=4 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,4),3)=4 AND COUNT(S,4)=4 AND REF(S,4)=0,H*1.01,4),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=5 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,5),4)=5 AND COUNT(S,4)=4 AND REF(S,4)=0,H*1.01,4),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=6 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,6),5)=6 AND COUNT(S,4)=4 AND REF(S,4)=0,H*1.01,4),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=2 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,2),1)=2 AND COUNT(S,5)=5 AND REF(S,5)=0,H*1.01,5),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=3 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,3),2)=3 AND COUNT(S,5)=5 AND REF(S,5)=0,H*1.01,5),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=4 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,4),3)=4 AND COUNT(S,5)=5 AND REF(S,5)=0,H*1.01,5),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=5 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,5),4)=5 AND COUNT(S,5)=5 AND REF(S,5)=0,H*1.01,5),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=1 AND COUNT(S,6)=6 AND REF(S,6)=0,H*1.01,6),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=2 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,2),1)=2 AND COUNT(S,6)=6 AND REF(S,6)=0,H*1.01,6),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=3 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,3),2)=3 AND COUNT(S,6)=6 AND REF(S,6)=0,H*1.01,6),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=4 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,4),3)=4 AND COUNT(S,6)=6 AND REF(S,6)=0,H*1.01,6),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=1 AND COUNT(S,7)=7 AND REF(S,7)=0,H*1.01,7),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=2 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,3),1)=3 AND COUNT(S,7)=7 AND REF(S,7)=0,H*1.01,7),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=3 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,3),2)=3 AND COUNT(S,7)=7 AND REF(S,7)=0,H*1.01,7),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N=2 AND COUNT(S,8)=8 AND REF(S,8)=0,H*1.01,8),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=2 AND REFXV(COUNT(S,2),1)=2 AND COUNT(S,8)=8 AND REF(S,8)=0,H*1.01,8),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWNUMBER(N>=1 AND COUNT(S,9)=9 AND REF(S,9)=0,H*1.01,9),COLORYELLOW;
副图指标
AA := REF(CLOSE,1);
BBB:=SMA(MAX(CLOSE-AA,0),34,1)/SMA(ABS(CLOSE-AA),34,1)*1000;
HHH:=BBB-LLV(BBB,36);
短期:=(MA(HHH,2)*3+HHH*13)/16;
中期:=MA(HHH,10);
差值:短期-中期,NODRAW;
CCC:=LLV(BBB,36)-BBB;
短期二:=(MA(CCC,2)*3+CCC*13)/16;
中期二:=MA(CCC,10);
VB:=2*(短期-中期),NODRAW;
乖离率6:=(CLOSE-MA(CLOSE,6))/MA(CLOSE,6)*100;
乖离率12:=(CLOSE-MA(CLOSE,12))/MA(CLOSE,12)*100;
乖离率24:=(CLOSE-MA(CLOSE,24))/MA(CLOSE,24)*100;
ZP:=乖离率6<-6 AND 乖离率12<-10 AND 乖离率24<-16;
DRAWICON(ZP,-50,26);
STICKLINE(VB>=0 AND VB>REF(VB,1),0,VB,1,0),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(VB>=0 AND VB<REF(VB,1),0,VB,1,1),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(VB<0 AND 中期>REF(中期,1),0,VB,1,1),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(VB<0 AND VB<REF(VB,1),0,VB,1,0),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE(VB<0 AND VB>REF(VB,1),0,VB,1,1),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE(VB<0 AND 中期>REF(中期,1),0,VB,2,-1),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(VB>=0 AND 中期<REF(中期,1),0,VB,2,-1),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE(短期<3,VB,0,1,0),COLORYELLOW;
准备买:IF(短期<3,8,0),COLORYELLOW,NODRAW;
STICKLINE(短期=0,VB,0,1,0),COLORMAGENTA;
买入:IF(短期=0,8,0),COLORMAGENTA,NODRAW;
DRAWICON(MA(短期,3)=0,VB,1);
加仓:IF(MA(短期,3)=0,8,0),COLORRED,NODRAW;
STICKLINE(差值>60 AND VB>0 AND 中期>50,VB,0,1,0),COLORBLUE;
准备卖:IF(差值>60 AND VB>0 AND 中期>50,4,0),COLORBLUE;
STICKLINE(差值>60 AND VB>0 AND 中期>100,VB,0,1,0),COLORCYAN;
卖出:IF(差值>60 AND VB>0 AND 中期>100,4,0),COLORCYAN;
坚决卖:IF(EVERY(差值>60 AND VB>0 AND 中期>100,2),4,0),COLORGREEN;
DRAWICON(EVERY(差值>60 AND VB>0 AND 中期>100,2),VB,2);
STICKLINE(VB>100,100,VB,1,0),COLORBROWN;
STICKLINE(VB>200,200,VB,1,0),COLORLIRED;
100,DOTLINE,COLORGRAY;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(ISLASTBAR,0,0,0,’准备买~黄色’),COLORYELLOW;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(ISLASTBAR,0.12,0,0,’买入~洋红色’),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(ISLASTBAR,0.24,0,0,’加仓~红箭头’),COLORRED;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(ISLASTBAR,0.36,0,0,’准备卖~蓝色’),COLORBLUE;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(ISLASTBAR,0.48,0,0,’卖出~青色’),COLORCYAN;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(ISLASTBAR,0.60,0,0,’坚决卖~绿箭头’),COLORGREEN;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(ISLASTBAR,0,0.12,0,'{红色柱~买入}’),COLORRED;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(ISLASTBAR,0,0.24,0,'{绿色柱~卖出}’),COLORGREEN;
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